49 CFR 260.17 - Credit risk premium analysis.
(a) When Federal appropriations are not available to cover the total subsidy cost, the Administrator will determine the Credit Risk Premium necessary for each direct loan or loan guarantee by estimating the credit risk and the potential recovery in the event of a default of each project evaluating the factors described in paragraphs (b) and (c) of this section.
(b) Establishing the credit risk.
(1) Where an Applicant has received a recent credit rating from one or more nationally recognized rating agencies, that rating will be used to estimate the credit risk.
(2) Where an Applicant has not received a credit rating from a credit rating agency, the Administrator will determine the credit risk based on an evaluation of the following factors:
(i) Business risk, based on Applicant's:
(A) Industry outlook;
(B) Market position;
(C) Management and financial policies;
(D) Capital expenditures; and
(E) Operating efficiency.
(ii) Financial risk, based on Applicant?s past and projected:
(C) Financial strength;
(D) Size; and
(E) Level of capital expenditures; and
(iii) Project risk, based on the proposed project's:
(A) Potential for improving revenues, profitability and cash flow from operations; and
(B) Reliance on third parties for success.
(c) The potential recovery in the event of a default will be based on:
(1) The nature of the Applicant's assets; and
(2) Liquidation value of the collateral offered, including the terms and conditions of the lien securing the collateral.