In those insurance lines and coverages where catastrophes
occur, the actual catastrophic losses of any one year in the recorded period
are replaced by an adjustment based on the average annual loss generated from
one or more catastrophe models as described in Section 2644.4.5, or an
adjustment based on a multi-year, long-term average of catastrophe losses net
of actual and anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries, as described in
subdivision (b) of this section, or except as prohibited in subdivision (e) of
this section a combination of the methods specified in subdivisions (a) and
(b).
(a) For fire following
earthquake, wildfire, and terrorism exposures in any line of insurance, an
insurer may include an adjustment based on the average annual loss generated
from one or more catastrophe models. The use of such models shall comply with
the requirements set forth in subdivision (e) of Section 2644.4.5. Further, the
average annual loss may be adjusted to include a provision for defense and cost
containment expenses (DCCE), either by applying a historical ratio of
noncatastrophe DCCE to noncatastrophe loss or by applying a historical ratio of
catastrophe DCCE to catastrophe loss.
(b) In any event, an
insurer may project its
catastrophe adjustment based on a multiyear, long-term average of catastrophe
losses and DCCE, net of actual and anticipated salvage and subrogation
recoveries. Catastrophe adjustment for perils other than those that are
permitted to be modeled under subdivision (a) of this section or pursuant to
subdivision (c) of Section 2644.4.5 must be based on such multiyear long-term
average.
(1) For residential and commercial
property lines, the adjustment shall be based on the average of the ratio of
ultimate catastrophe losses and DCCE to amount of insurance years (AIY). For
purposes of this section, the term AIY shall reflect the total combined limits
(dwelling, additional structures, personal contents and loss of use) pertaining
to the property coverages underlying each policy. For private passenger and
commercial automobile physical damage, the adjustment shall be based on the
average of the ratio of ultimate catastrophe losses and DCCE to ultimate
noncatastrophe losses and DCCE.
(2)
The number of years over which the average shall be calculated shall be at
least 20 years for residential and commercial property lines and at least 10
years for private passenger, and commercial, auto physical damage. Where the
insurer does not have enough years of data, or has a limited amount of data for
years for which it does have data, the insurer's data shall be supplemented by
appropriate data for those years. The number of years over which the average
shall be calculated for any other line with catastrophe exposure that is
permitted under this subdivision (b) to have a catastrophe adjustment shall be
based on the most actuarially sound assumptions. There shall be no catastrophe
adjustment for private passenger, or commercial, auto liability.
(c) Regardless of which method is
used for catastrophe adjustment, insurers shall submit all of the following,
based on the data aggregation method used for the recorded period, whether the
recorded period is expressed in terms of accident years,
policy years or report
years, through the most recent year of the recorded period:
(1) The insurer's history, by year, of
California catastrophe losses, displayed separately for paid losses,
case-incurred losses and Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) reserves.
(2) The insurer's history, by year, of
California noncatastrophe losses, displayed separately for paid losses,
case-incurred losses and IBNR reserves.
(3) The insurer's history, by year, of
California catastrophe Defense and Cost Containment Expenses (DCCE), displayed
separately for paid DCCE, case-incurred DCCE and IBNR reserves.
(4) The insurer's history, by year, of
California noncatastrophe DCCE, displayed separately for paid DCCE,
case-incurred DCCE and IBNR reserves.
(5) The insurer's history, by year, of
California received salvage and subrogation recoveries. Subrogation recoveries
shall include the proceeds of any actual sale or divestiture of subrogation
rights.
(6) The insurer's history,
by year, of California anticipated salvage and subrogation recoverables.
Subrogation recoverables shall include the reasonably foreseeable proceeds of
any anticipated sale or divestiture of subrogation rights.
(7) The insurer's history, by year, of
California AIY for residential and commercial property lines.
(8) For residential and commercial property
lines, the
insurer's projected AIY for the
policy effective period. The trend
factor that is used to project AIY shall be based on the exponential curve of
best fit. Insurers shall file the most recent 27 quarters of company-specific
AIY and earned exposure data. The
insurer shall file its rate change
application using the single data period for AIY and, as specified in section
2644.7, premium and loss trend,
which data period the
insurer determines to be the most actuarially sound. The
Commissioner may require the use of an alternative data period if the
Commissioner determines that use of such alternative data period is the most
actuarially sound approach.
(9) For
private passenger and commercial auto physical damage, the
insurer's projected
ultimate noncatastrophe losses for the most recent year in the recorded period,
as determined by the
application of Sections
2644.6 and
2644.7.
(10) The insurer's current definition of
catastrophe and the period of time it has used such definition.
(11) The insurer's definition of wildfire and
the period of time it has used such definition.
(12) The name of any major event or events
contributing to the year's catastrophic losses, for instance, the "Cedar Fire,"
and the peril or perils associated with those losses.
(d) The catastrophe adjustment shall reflect
any changes between the
insurer's historical and prospective exposure to
catastrophe due to a change in:
(1) The
insurer's coverage or other policy terms; or
(2) The insurer's mix of business.
(e) For any individual peril,
projected aggregate catastrophe losses cannot be based upon a combination of
modeled and historical losses associated with that peril.
(f) Catastrophe adjustment, whether based on
modeled or nonmodeled losses as prescribed by 2644.5(a) or (b) above, shall
apply as a single annual projection once all other adjustments to loss have
been made. The catastrophe adjustment shall be expressed as a dollar amount of
catastrophe losses per earned exposure, where earned exposure is taken from the
most recent year of the recorded period.
(g) For residential and commercial property
lines, no trend shall be applied to the catastrophe adjustment except for the
trend factor that is used to project AIY as described in subdivision (c)(8) of
this section.