(a) Determining
whether a project may have a significant effect plays a critical role in the
CEQA process.
(1) If there is substantial
evidence, in light of the whole record before a lead agency, that a project may
have a significant effect on the environment, the agency shall prepare a draft
EIR.
(2) When a final EIR
identifies one or more significant effects, the lead agency and each
responsible agency shall make a finding under Section
15091 for each significant effect
and may need to make a statement of overriding considerations under Section
15093 for the
project.
(b)
(1) The determination of whether a project
may have a significant effect on the environment calls for careful judgment on
the part of the public agency involved, based to the extent possible on
scientific and factual data. An ironclad definition of significant effect is
not always possible because the significance of an activity may vary with the
setting. For example, an activity which may not be significant in an urban area
may be significant in a rural area.
(2) Thresholds of significance, as defined in
Section
15064.7(a), may
assist lead agencies in determining whether a project may cause a significant
impact. When using a threshold, the lead agency should briefly explain how
compliance with the threshold means that the project's impacts are less than
significant. Compliance with the threshold does not relieve a lead agency of
the obligation to consider substantial evidence indicating that the project's
environmental effects may still be significant.
(c) In determining whether an effect will be
adverse or beneficial, the lead agency shall consider the views held by members
of the public in all areas affected as expressed in the whole record before the
lead agency. Before requiring the preparation of an EIR, the lead agency must
still determine whether environmental change itself might be
substantial.
(d) In evaluating the
significance of the environmental effect of a project, the lead agency shall
consider direct physical changes in the environment which may be caused by the
project and reasonably foreseeable indirect physical changes in the environment
which may be caused by the project.
(1) A
direct physical change in the environment is a physical change in the
environment which is caused by and immediately related to the project. Examples
of direct physical changes in the environment are the dust, noise, and traffic
of heavy equipment that would result from construction of a sewage treatment
plant and possible odors from operation of the plant.
(2) An indirect physical change in the
environment is a physical change in the environment which is not immediately
related to the project, but which is caused indirectly by the project. If a
direct physical change in the environment in turn causes another change in the
environment, then the other change is an indirect physical change in the
environment. For example, the construction of a new sewage treatment plant may
facilitate population growth in the service area due to the increase in sewage
treatment capacity and may lead to an increase in air pollution.
(3) An indirect physical change is to be
considered only if that change is a reasonably foreseeable impact which may be
caused by the project. A change which is speculative or unlikely to occur is
not reasonably foreseeable.
(e) Economic and social changes resulting
from a project shall not be treated as significant effects on the environment.
Economic or social changes may be used, however, to determine that a physical
change shall be regarded as a significant effect on the environment. Where a
physical change is caused by economic or social effects of a project, the
physical change may be regarded as a significant effect in the same manner as
any other physical change resulting from the project. Alternatively, economic
and social effects of a physical change may be used to determine that the
physical change is a significant effect on the environment. If the physical
change causes adverse economic or social effects on people, those adverse
effects may be used as a factor in determining whether the physical change is
significant. For example, if a project would cause overcrowding of a public
facility and the overcrowding causes an adverse effect on people, the
overcrowding would be regarded as a significant effect.
(f) The decision as to whether a project may
have one or more significant effects shall be based on substantial evidence in
the record of the lead agency.
(1) If the lead
agency determines there is substantial evidence in the record that the project
may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall prepare
an EIR (Friends of B Street v. City of Hayward (1980) 106 Cal. App. 3d 988).
Said another way, if a lead agency is presented with a fair argument that a
project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency shall
prepare an EIR even though it may also be presented with other substantial
evidence that the project will not have a significant effect (No Oil, Inc. v.
City of Los Angeles (1974) 13 Cal. 3d 68).
(2) If the lead agency determines there is
substantial evidence in the record that the project may have a significant
effect on the environment but the lead agency determines that revisions in the
project plans or proposals made by, or agreed to by, the applicant would avoid
the effects or mitigate the effects to a point where clearly no significant
effect on the environment would occur and there is no substantial evidence in
light of the whole record before the public agency that the project, as
revised, may have a significant effect on the environment then a mitigated
negative declaration shall be prepared.
(3) If the lead agency determines there is no
substantial evidence that the project may have a significant effect on the
environment, the lead agency shall prepare a negative declaration (Friends of B
Street v. City of Hayward (1980) 106 Cal. App. 3d 988).
(4) The existence of public controversy over
the environment effects of a project will not require preparation of an EIR if
there is no substantial evidence before the agency that the project may have a
significant effect on the environment.
(5) Argument, speculation, unsubstantiated
opinion or narrative, or evidence that is clearly inaccurate or erroneous, or
evidence that is not credible, shall not constitute substantial evidence.
Substantial evidence shall include facts, reasonable assumptions predicated
upon facts, and expert opinion supported by facts.
(6) Evidence of economic and social impacts
that do not contribute to or are not caused by physical changes in the
environment is not substantial evidence that the project may have a significant
effect on the environment.
(7) The
provisions of sections
15162,
15163, and
15164 apply when the project being
analyzed is a change to, or further approval for, a project for which an EIR or
negative declaration was previously certified or adopted (e.g. a tentative
subdivision, conditional use permit). Under case law, the fair argument
standard does not apply to determinations of significance pursuant to sections
15162,
15163, and
15164.
(g) After application of the principles set
forth above in Section
15064(f), and in
marginal cases where it is not clear whether there is substantial evidence that
a project may have a significant effect on the environment, the lead agency
shall be guided by the following principle: If there is disagreement among
expert opinion supported by facts over the significance of an effect on the
environment, the Lead Agency shall treat the effect as significant and shall
prepare an EIR.
(h)
(1) When assessing whether a cumulative
effect requires an EIR, the lead agency shall consider whether the cumulative
impact is significant and whether the effects of the project are cumulatively
considerable. An EIR must be prepared if the cumulative impact may be
significant and the project's incremental effect, though individually limited,
is cumulatively considerable. "Cumulatively considerable" means that the
incremental effects of an individual project are significant when viewed in
connection with the effects of past projects, the effects of other current
projects, and the effects of probable future projects.
(2) A lead agency may determine in an initial
study that a project's contribution to a significant cumulative impact will be
rendered less than cumulatively considerable and thus is not significant. When
a project might contribute to a significant cumulative impact, but the
contribution will be rendered less than cumulatively considerable through
mitigation measures set forth in a mitigated negative declaration, the initial
study shall briefly indicate and explain how the contribution has been rendered
less than cumulatively considerable.
(3) A lead agency may determine that a
project's incremental contribution to a cumulative effect is not cumulatively
considerable if the project will comply with the requirements in a previously
approved plan or mitigation program (including, but not limited to, water
quality control plan, air quality attainment or maintenance plan, integrated
waste management plan, habitat conservation plan, natural community
conservation plan, plans or regulations for the reduction of greenhouse gas
emissions) that provides specific requirements that will avoid or substantially
lessen the cumulative problem within the geographic area in which the project
is located. Such plans or programs must be specified in law or adopted by the
public agency with jurisdiction over the affected resources through a public
review process to implement, interpret, or make specific the law enforced or
administered by the public agency. When relying on a plan, regulation or
program, the lead agency should explain how implementing the particular
requirements in the plan, regulation or program ensure that the project's
incremental contribution to the cumulative effect is not cumulatively
considerable. If there is substantial evidence that the possible effects of a
particular project are still cumulatively considerable notwithstanding that the
project complies with the specified plan or mitigation program addressing the
cumulative problem, an EIR must be prepared for the project.
(4) The mere existence of significant
cumulative impacts caused by other projects alone shall not constitute
substantial evidence that the proposed project's incremental effects are
cumulatively considerable.