Or. Admin. R. 660-032-0030 - Metro Area Population Forecasts
(1) Metro, in coordination with local
governments within its boundary, shall issue a coordinated population forecast
for the entire area within its boundary, to be applied by Metro and local
governments within the boundary as the basis for a change to a regional
framework plan, comprehensive plan or land use regulation, when such change
must be based on or requires the use of a population forecast.
(2) Metro shall allocate the forecast to the
cities and portions of counties within the Metro boundary for land use planning
purposes.
(3) In adopting its
coordinated forecast, Metro must follow applicable procedures and requirements
in this rule and ORS 197.610 to
197.650, and must provide notice
to state agencies and all local governments in the Metro area. The forecast
must be adopted as part of the applicable regional or local plan.
(4) The Metro forecast must be developed
using commonly accepted practices and standards for population forecasting used
by professional practitioners in the field of demography or economics. The
forecast must be based on current, reliable and objective sources and
verifiable factual information, and must take into account documented long-term
demographic trends as well as recent events that have a reasonable likelihood
of changing historical trends. Metro must coordinate with the PRC in the
development and allocation of its forecast.
(5) The population forecast developed under
the provisions of (1) through (4) of this rule is a prediction which, although
based on the best available information and methodology, should not be held to
an unreasonably high level of precision. For a forecast used as a basis for a
decision adopting or amending the Metro regional urban growth boundary
submitted to the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) under
ORS 197.626, the director of DLCD or
the Land Conservation and Development Commission may approve the forecast
provided it finds that any failure to meet a particular requirement of this
rule is insignificant and is unlikely to have a significant effect on the
determination of long term needs for the Metro urban area under OAR
660-024-0040.
Notes
Stat. Auth.: ORS 197.040 &195.033(10)
Stats. Implemented: ORS 195.033, 195.036 & OL 2013 Ch. 574, Sec. 3
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