Or. Admin. Code § 660-024-0040 - Land Need

(1) The UGB must be based on the appropriate 20-year population forecast for the urban area as determined under rules in OAR chapter 660, division 32, and must provide for needed housing, employment and other urban uses such as public facilities, streets and roads, schools, parks and open space over the 20-year planning period consistent with the land need requirements of Goal 14 and this rule. The 20-year need determinations are estimates which, although based on the best available information and methodologies, should not be held to an unreasonably high level of precision. Local governments in Crook, Deschutes or Jefferson Counties may determine the need for Regional Large-Lot Industrial Land by following the provisions of OAR 660-024-0045 for areas subject to that rule.

(2) If the UGB analysis or amendment is conducted as part of a periodic review work program, the 20-year planning period must commence on the date initially scheduled for completion of the appropriate work task. If the UGB analysis or amendment is conducted as part of a sequential UGB approval, the 20-year planning period will be established in the work program issued pursuant to OAR 660-025-0185. If the UGB analysis or amendment is conducted as a post-acknowledgement plan amendment under ORS 197.610 to 197.625, the 20-year planning period must commence either:

(a) On the date initially scheduled for final adoption of the amendment specified by the local government in the initial notice of the amendment required by OAR 660-018-0020; or

(b) If more recent than the date determined in subsection (a), at the beginning of the 20-year period specified in the appropriate coordinated population forecast for the urban area as determined under rules in OAR chapter 660, division 32, unless ORS 197.296 requires a different date for local governments subject to that statute.

(3) A local government may review and amend the UGB in consideration of one category of land need (for example, housing need) without a simultaneous review and amendment in consideration of other categories of land need (for example, employment need).

(4) The determination of 20-year residential land needs for an urban area must be consistent with the appropriate 20-year coordinated population forecast for the urban area determined under rules in OAR chapter 660, division 32, and with the requirements for determining housing needs in Goals 10 and 14, OAR chapter 660, division 7 or 8, and applicable provisions of ORS 197.295 to 197.314 and 197.475 to 197.490.

(5) Except for a metropolitan service district described in ORS 197.015(13), the determination of 20-year employment land need for an urban area must comply with applicable requirements of Goal 9 and OAR chapter 660, division 9, and must include a determination of the need for a short-term supply of land for employment uses consistent with OAR 660-009-0025. Employment land need may be based on an estimate of job growth over the planning period; local government must provide a reasonable justification for the job growth estimate but Goal 14 does not require that job growth estimates necessarily be proportional to population growth. Local governments in Crook, Deschutes or Jefferson Counties may determine the need for Regional Large-Lot Industrial Land by following the provisions of OAR 660-024-0045 for areas subject to that rule.

(6) Cities and counties may jointly conduct a coordinated regional EOA for more than one city in the county or for a defined region within one or more counties, in conformance with Goal 9, OAR chapter 660, division 9, and applicable provisions of ORS 195.025. A defined region may include incorporated and unincorporated areas of one or more counties.

(7) The determination of 20-year land needs for transportation and public facilities for an urban area must comply with applicable requirements of Goals 11 and 12, rules in OAR chapter 660, divisions 11 and 12, and public facilities requirements in ORS 197.712 and 197.768. The determination of school facility needs must also comply with 195.110 and 197.296 for local governments specified in those statutes.

(8) The following safe harbors may be applied by a local government to determine housing need under this division:

(a) A local government may estimate persons per household for the 20-year planning period using the persons per household for the urban area indicated in the most current data for the urban area published by the U.S. Census Bureau.

(b) If a local government does not regulate government-assisted housing differently than other housing types, it is not required to estimate the need for government-assisted housing as a separate housing type.

(c) If a local government allows manufactured homes on individual lots as a permitted use in all residential zones that allow 10 or fewer dwelling units per net buildable acre, it is not necessary to provide an estimate of the need for manufactured dwellings on individual lots.

(d) If a local government allows manufactured dwelling parks required by ORS 197.475 to 197.490 in all areas planned and zoned for a residential density of six to 12 units per acre, a separate estimate of the need for manufactured dwelling parks is not required.

(e) A local government outside of the Metro boundary may estimate its housing vacancy rate for the 20-year planning period using the vacancy rate in the most current data published by the U.S. Census Bureau for that urban area that includes the local government.

(f) A local government outside of the Metro boundary may determine housing needs for purposes of a UGB amendment using the combined Housing Density and Housing Mix safe harbors described in this subsection and in Table 1, or in combination with the Alternative Density safe harbor described under subsection (g) of this section and in Table 2. To meet the Housing Density safe harbor in this subsection, the local government may Assume For UGB Analysis that all buildable land in the urban area, including land added to the UGB, will develop at the applicable average overall density specified in column B of Table 1. Buildable land in the UGB, including land added to the UGB, must also be Zoned to Allow at least the average overall maximum density specified as Zone To Allow in column B of Table 1. Finally, the local government must adopt zoning that ensures buildable land in the urban area, including land added to the UGB, cannot develop at an average overall density less than the applicable Required Overall Minimum density specified in column B of Table 1. To meet the Housing Mix safe harbor in this subsection, the local government must Zone to Allow the applicable percentages of low, medium and high density residential specified in column C of Table 1.

(g) When using the safe harbor in subsection (f), a local government may choose to also use the applicable Alternative Density safe harbors for Small Exception Parcels and High Value Farm Land specified in Table 2. If a local government chooses to use the Alternative Density safe harbors described in Table 2, it must:

(A) Apply the applicable Small Exception Parcel density assumption and the High Value Farm Land density assumption measures specified in the table to all buildable land that is within these categories, and

(B) Apply the Housing Density and Mix safe harbors specified in subsection (f) of this section and specified in Table 1 to all buildable land in the urban area that does not consist of Small Exception Parcels or High Value Farm Land.

(h) As an alternative to the density safe harbors in subsection (f) and, if applicable, subsection (g), of this section, a local government outside of the Metro boundary may assume that the average overall density of buildable residential land in the urban area for the 20-year planning period will increase by 25 percent over the average overall density of developed residential land in the urban area at the time the local government initiated the evaluation or amendment of the UGB. If a local government uses this Incremental Housing Density safe harbor, it must also meet the applicable Zoned to Allow density and Required Overall Minimum density requirements in Column B of Table 1 and, if applicable, Table 2, and must use the Housing Mix safe harbor in Column C of Table 1.

(i) As an alternative to the Housing Mix safe harbor required in subsection (f) of this section and in Column C of Table 1, a local government outside the Metro boundary that uses the housing density safe harbor in subsection (f), (g) or (h) of this section may estimate housing mix using the Incremental Housing Mix safe harbor described in paragraphs (A) to (C) of this subsection, as illustrated in Table 3:

(A) Determine the existing percentages of low density, medium density, and high density housing on developed land (not "buildable land") in the urban area at the time the local government initiated the evaluation or amendment of the UGB;

(B) Increase the percentage of medium density housing estimated in paragraph (A) of this subsection by 10 percent, increase the percentage of high density housing estimated in paragraph (A) of this subsection by five percent, as illustrated in Table 3, and decrease the percentage of low density single family housing by a proportionate amount so that the overall mix total is 100 percent, and

(C) Zone to Allow the resultant housing mix determined under subparagraphs (A) and (B) of this subsection.

(j) Tables 1, 2 and 3 are adopted as part of this rule, and the following definitions apply to terms used in the tables:

(A) "Assume For UGB Analysis" means the local government may assume that the UGB will develop over the 20-year planning period at the applicable overall density specified in Column B of Tables 1 and 2.

(B) "Attached housing" means housing where each unit shares a common wall, ceiling or floor with at least one other unit. "Attached housing" includes, but is not limited to, apartments, condominiums, and common-wall dwellings or row houses where each dwelling unit occupies a separate lot.

(C) "Average Overall Density" means the average density of all buildable land in the UGB, including buildable land already inside the UGB and buildable land added to the UGB, including land zoned for residential use that is presumed to be needed for schools, parks and other institutional uses.

(D) "Coordinated 20-year Population Forecast" and "20-year Population Forecast" under Column A of the Tables refers to the appropriate population forecast for the urban area determined under rules in OAR chapter 660, division 32.

(E) "Density" means the number of dwelling units per net buildable acre.

(F) "High Value Farm Land" has the same meaning as the term defined in ORS 195.300(10).

(G) "Required Overall Minimum" means a minimum allowed overall average density, or a "density floor," that must be ensured in the applicable residential zones with respect to the overall supply of buildable land for that zone in the urban area for the 20-year planning period.

(H) "Single Family Detached Housing" means a housing unit that is free standing and separate from other housing units, including mobile homes and manufactured dwellings under ORS 197.475 to 197.492.

(I) "Small Exception Parcel" means a residentially zoned parcel five acres or less with a house on it, located on land that is outside a UGB prior to a proposed UGB expansion, subject to an acknowledged exception to Goal 3 or 4 or both.

(J) "Zone To Allow" or "Zoned to Allow" means that the comprehensive plan and implementing zoning shall allow the specified housing types and densities under clear and objective standards and other requirements specified in ORS 197.307(4) and (6).

(9) The following safe harbors may be applied by a local government to determine its employment needs for purposes of a UGB amendment under this rule, Goal 9, OAR chapter 660, division 9, Goal 14 and, if applicable, ORS 197.296.

(a) A local government may estimate that the current number of jobs in the urban area will grow during the 20-year planning period at a rate equal to either:

(A) The county or regional job growth rate provided in the most recent forecast published by the Oregon Employment Department; or

(B) The population growth rate for the urban area in the appropriate 20-year coordinated population forecast determined under rules in OAR chapter 660, division 32.

(b) A local government with a population of 10,000 or less may assume that retail and service commercial land needs will grow in direct proportion to the forecasted urban area population growth over the 20-year planning period. This safe harbor may not be used to determine employment land needs for sectors other than retail and service commercial.

(10) As a safe harbor during periodic review or other legislative review of the UGB, a local government may estimate that the 20-year land needs for streets and roads, parks and school facilities will together require an additional amount of land equal to 25 percent of the net buildable acres determined for residential land needs under section (4) of this rule, and in conformance with the definition of "Net Buildable Acre" as defined in OAR 660-024-0010(6).

Notes

Or. Admin. Code § 660-024-0040

LCDD 8-2006, f. 10-19-06, cert. ef. 4-5-07; LCDD 2-2009, f. 4-8-09, cert. ef. 4-16-09; LCDD 9-2012, f. 11-26-12, cert. ef. 12-10-12; LCDD 1-2015, f. & cert. ef. 3/25/2015; LCDD 2-2019, amend filed 01/28/2019, effective 2/1/2019

Statutory/Other Authority: ORS 197.040, Statewide Planning Goal 14 & ORS 195.033(10)

Statutes/Other Implemented: ORS 195.036, ORS 197.015, ORS 197.295 - 197.314, ORS 197.610 - 197.650, ORS 197.764, ORS 195.033, ORS 195.036 & OL 2013 Ch. 574 Sec. 3