(b)
Unit 21(E) Predation Control
Area. The Unit 21(E) Predation Control Area is established in Unit
21(E), encompassing approximately 7,993 square miles; this predation control
program does not apply within National Park Service or National Wildlife Refuge
lands unless approved by the federal agencies; notwithstanding any other
provision in this title, and based on the following information contained in
this section, the commissioner or the commissioner's designee may conduct a
wolf and black bear and brown bear population reduction or a wolf and black
bear and brown bear population regulation program in Unit 21(E) to benefit
moose:
(1) the following Wolf and Bear
Control Focus Areas are established in the Unit 21(E) Predation Control Area;
the areas do not delineate a moose, wolf, or bear population and are not
intended to distinguish animals within the areas from populations in Unit
21(E); the purpose is to focus wolf and bear control in a relatively small area
where moose numbers can be better estimated, where moose are accessible to
hunters, and where harvest can be closely monitored;
(A) the Wolf Control Focus Area (WCFA)
encompasses approximately 4,126 square miles within Unit 21(E) within the area
south of 63° 06.00' N. lat., north of 61° 54.00' N. lat., and easterly
of a line starting at 62° 08.00' N. lat., 160° 35.00' W. long., then
north to 62° 44.00' N. lat., 160° 35.00' W. long., then east to 62°
44.00' N. lat., 160° 10.00' W. long., then north to 62° 56.00' N. lat.,
160° 10.00' W. long., then east to 62° 56.00' N. lat., 160° 05.00'
W. long., then north to 63° 00.00' N. lat., 160° 05.00' W. long., then
east to 63° 00.00' N. lat., 160° 00.00' W. long., then north to 63°
02.00' N. lat., 160° 00.00' W. long., then east to 62° 02.00' N. lat.,
159° 55.00' W. long., then north to 63° 06.00' N. lat., 159° 55.00'
W. long.; wolf control will be conducted only within the WCFA; the department
has the discretion to adjust the area's size and shape to include up to
approximately 4,500 square miles of Unit 21(E);
(B) the Black Bear and Brown Bear Control
Focus Area (BCFA) encompasses approximately 556 square miles consisting of
those portions of the Yukon River drainage within the area starting at 62°
08.00' N. lat., 159° 25.00' W. long., then west to 62° 08.00' N. lat.,
159° 45.00' W. long., then north to 62° 14.00' N. lat, 159° 45.00'
W. long., then west to 62° 14.00' N. lat., 160° 00.00' W. long., then
north to 62° 22.00' N. lat., 160° 00.00' W. long., then west to 62°
22.00' N. lat, 160° 05.00' W. long., then north to 62° 28.00' N. lat,
160° 05.00' W. long., then west to 62° 28.00' N. lat, 160° 10.00'
W. long., then north to 62° 36.00' N. lat., 160° 10.00' W. long., then
east to 62° 36.00' N. lat., 159° 30.00' W. long., then south to 62°
16.00' N. lat., 159° 30.00' W. long., then east to 62° 16.00' N. lat.,
159° 25.00' W. long., then south to 62° 08.00' N. lat, 159° 25.00'
W. long.; bear control will be conducted only within the BCFA; the department
has the discretion to adjust the area's size and shape up to approximately 800
square miles of Unit 21(E); the BCFA is entirely within the WCFA;
(2) this is a continuing control
program that was first authorized by the board in 2010 for wolf control; it is
currently designed to increase moose numbers and harvest in the WCFA and BCFA
by reducing predation on moose and is expected to make a contribution to
achieving the intensive management (IM) objectives in Unit 21(E);
(3) moose, wolf, black bear, and brown bear
objectives are as follows:
(A) the moose IM
population objective established by the board for Unit 21(E) is 9,000-11,000
moose; the IM harvest objective for Unit 21(E) is 550-1,100 moose
annually;
(B) the density objective
for moose in the WCFA is 1.0 per square mile (corrected for sightability)
during late winter surveys; the annual moose harvest objective for the WCFA is
165;
(C) the wolf control objective
in the WCFA is to reduce wolf numbers by at least 60-80 percent; the
pre-control estimate within the WCFA is 80 wolves; the pre-control wolf
population in Unit 21(E) is estimated at 150; a minimum of 30 wolves
post-control in Unit 21(E) will ensure that wolves persist in Unit
21(E);
(D) the black bear control
objective in the BCFA is to reduce black bear numbers to the lowest level
possible; the pre-control black bear population in Unit 21(E) is estimated at
1,900-2,275; the pre-control estimate within the BCFA is 130-160; because the
BCFA is a relatively small geographic area, removing black bears from within it
will have only a minor effect on the black bear population in Unit
21(E);
(E) the brown bear control
objective in the BCFA is to reduce brown bear numbers to the lowest level
possible; the pre-control brown bear population in Unit 21(E) is estimated at
100-200; the pre-control estimate within the BCFA is 10-15; because the BCFA is
a relatively small geographic area, removing brown bears from within it will
have only a minor effect on the brown bear population in Unit 21(E);
(4) board findings concerning
populations and human use are as follows:
(A)
a proactive approach is needed to allow for a timely response to a decline in
the Unit 21(E) moose population if IM population and harvest objectives have
not been met;
(B) predation by
wolves and bears is an important cause of failure to achieve population or
harvest objectives;
(C) a reduction
of wolf and bear predation within the WCFA and BCFA can reasonably be expected
to make progress towards achieving the Unit 21(E) IM objectives;
(D) reducing predation is likely to be
effective and feasible using recognized and prudent active management
techniques and based on scientific information;
(E) reducing predation is likely to be
effective given land ownership patterns;
(5) if the moose density in Unit 21(E)
declines to fewer than 1.0 moose per square mile (corrected for sightability)
then authorized methods and means are as follows:
(A) hunting and trapping of wolves and
hunting of black bears and brown bears by the public in Unit 21(E) during the
term of this program may occur as provided in the hunting and trapping
regulations set out elsewhere in this title, including use of motorized
vehicles;
(B) notwithstanding any
other provisions in this title, the commissioner may allow department employees
to conduct aerial, land and shoot, or ground-based lethal removal of wolves and
black bears and brown bears using state-owned, privately-owned, or chartered
equipment, including helicopters, under
AS
16.05.783;
(C) notwithstanding any other provisions in
this title, the commissioner may issue public aerial shooting permits and
public land and shoot permits using fixed-wing aircraft as a method of wolf
removal under
AS
16.05.783;
(6) time frame is as follows:
(A) before July 1, 2030, the commissioner may
authorize removal of wolves and black bears and brown bears in Unit
21(E);
(B) annually, upon
implementation of predation control, the department shall, to the extent
practicable, provide to the board a report of program activities conducted
during the preceding 12 months, including implementation activities, the status
of the moose, wolf and bear populations, and recommendations for changes, if
necessary to achieve the objectives of the plan;
(7) the commissioner will review, modify or
suspend program activities as follows:
(A)
when wolf surveys or accumulated information from department personnel,
hunters, trappers, and permittees indicate the need to avoid reducing wolf
numbers in Unit 21(E) below 30 wolves;
(B) when the moose density and harvest
objectives within the WCFA specified in this subsection are achieved.
(c)
Unit 24(B)
Predation Control Area: the Unit 24(B) Predation Control Area is
established and consists of those portions of the Koyukuk River drainage within
Unit 24(B), encompassing approximately 13,523 square miles; this predation
control program does not apply to any National Park Service or National
Wildlife Refuge lands unless approved by the federal agencies; notwithstanding
any other provisions in this title, and based on the following information
contained in this subsection, the commissioner or the commissioner's designee
may conduct a wolf population reduction or wolf population regulation program
in Unit 24(B):
(1) an Upper Koyukuk
Management Area (UKMA) is established within the Unit 24(B) Predation Control
Area encompassing approximately 1,360 square miles surrounding the villages of
Alatna and Allakaket and bounded to the north at 66º 52' N. lat., to the
east at 152º 10' W. long., to the south at 66º 10' N. lat., and to
the west at 153º 45' W. long.; the UKMA does not delineate a moose or wolf
population and is not intended to distinguish animals within the UKMA from
populations in Unit 24(B); the purpose of the UKMA is to focus wolf control in
an area where moose are accessible to hunters, rather than spread this effort
over the entire game management unit; wolf control will be conducted only
within the UKMA; through the department's permitting authorities, the
department has the discretion to adjust the area's size and shape to include up
to 20 percent (approximately 2,700 square miles) of Unit 24(B) if
necessary;
(2) this is an
experimental program that will have limited impact on the moose and wolf
populations in Unit 24(B); it is designed primarily to reallocate moose from
wolves to humans in the UKMA and is expected to make only a small contribution
to the intensive management moose harvest objective in Unit 24(B); at the end
of the authorized period for removal of wolves, the control program will be
terminated;
(3) moose and wolf
objectives are as follows:
(A) the moose
intensive management objectives established by the board for Unit 24(B) are for
a population of 4,000 - 4,500 moose and an annual harvest of 150 - 250
moose;
(B) the moose harvest
objective for the UKMA is for an annual harvest of 35 - 40 moose by fall
2017;
(C) the wolf population
control objective for Unit 24(B) is 100 - 140 wolves; the pre-control wolf
population in Unit 24(B) was estimated in fall 2008 at 202 - 284 wolves; a
minimum population of 100 wolves is approximately a 50 percent reduction from
the pre-control population and will assure that wolves persist as part of the
natural ecosystem in Unit 24(B) and assure continued wolf hunting, trapping,
and viewing opportunities;
(D) the
wolf control objective in the UKMA is to reduce wolf numbers to the lowest
level possible; in fall 2010, the estimated maximum number of wolves in the
UKMA was 25 - 60 wolves;
(4) the board's findings concerning
populations and human use are as follows:
(A)
the Unit 24(B) moose population and harvest objectives have not been achieved
based on the following:
(i) in early winter
2010 the observable moose population size in Unit 24(B) was estimated at 1,800
- 3,400 moose (0.13 - 0.25 moose per square mile), based on extrapolation of
population estimates from survey areas in the unit, including all or parts of
the UKMA, Kanuti National Wildlife Refuge, and Gates of the Arctic National
Park and Preserve; during regulatory years 2008 - 2009 through 2010 - 2011,
estimated annual harvest in Unit 24(B) was 82 - 109 moose;
(ii) in early winter 2010, the number of
observable moose within the UKMA was estimated at 405 (90 percent confidence
interval: plus or minus 96); estimates of annual harvest from the UKMA are not
available; however, the division of subsistence household surveys from the
villages of Alatna and Allakaket within the UKMA indicated moose harvest during
1997 - 2002 averaged approximately 40 moose per year; the division of wildlife
conservation estimated current reported and unreported harvest in Alatna and
Allakaket is 15 - 20 moose annually; based on resident testimonials, cost to
obtain a moose has increased due to declining moose densities and increasing
fuel costs;
(B) predation
by bears and wolves is an important cause of the failure to achieve moose
population and harvest objectives based on the following:
(i) moose surveys in Unit 24(B) during spring
2008 - 2011 indicated high twinning rates (average 57 percent), thus good body
condition; fall composition surveys in Unit 24(B) indicated high productivity,
with calf-to-cow ratios averaging 44 calves per 100 cows, but cohort survival
was low with yearling bulls averaging 11 per 100 cows; these survey data and a
predicted calving rate of 80 percent indicate more calves are lost during
summer due primarily to bear predation than winter due primarily to wolf
predation;
(ii) studies from
Interior Alaska have documented bears as the primary source of neonatal moose
mortality, whereas wolves are the primary predator of moose greater than 12
months of age; based on radiocollared adults in Units 24(A) and 24(B) in 2008 -
2009, annual adult mortality is approximately 8 - 10 percent;
(C) a reduction of wolf predation
within the UKMA can reasonably be expected to make progress towards achieving
the Unit 24(B) intensive management objectives; modeling of the current moose
abundance in the UKMA using estimated abundance of 45 - 55 wolves, 75 black
bears, 25 brown bears, 405 (plus or minus 96) moose, and a harvest of 20 moose
annually, indicated that moose abundance should slowly increase in response to
wolf control that increases calf and yearling moose survival; wolf control
alone likely will result in a positive response in moose abundance after five
winters of control, including reallocation of some surviving moose to
harvest;
(D) reducing predation is
likely to be effective and feasible utilizing recognized and prudent active
management techniques and based on scientific information; based on survey
results indicating wolf predation is an important source of mortality, reducing
wolves in a small geographic area will likely result in increased moose
survival and additional animals available for hunter harvest; harvest data will
be collected using harvest ticket or registration permit reports, household
surveys, and other reporting mechanisms such as calendars for recording hunting
activities; moose population data collection will include abundance,
calf-to-cow ratio, and yearling bull-to-cow ratio from population estimation
surveys and calf survival and yearling survival from radiocollared
moose;
(E) reducing predation is
likely to be effective given land ownership patterns; the UKMA was selected
based on land ownership status (minimizing federal lands), proximity to
traditional moose hunting areas for the villages of Allakaket and Alatna
(maximizing inclusion of navigable river corridors), and habitat suitability;
within the UKMA, 125 square miles (9.2 percent) is federal land (BLM/USFWS),
576 square miles (42.3 percent) is Alaska Native corporation land, 659 square
miles (48.4 percent) is state lands;
(5) the permissible authorized methods and
means used to take wolves are as follows:
(A)
hunting and trapping of wolves by the public in Unit 24(B) during the term of
this program may occur as provided in the hunting and trapping regulations set
out elsewhere in this title, including use of motorized vehicles as provided in
5
AAC 92.080;
(B) notwithstanding any other provisions in
this title, the commissioner may allow department employees to conduct aerial,
land and shoot, or ground-based lethal removal of wolves using state-owned,
privately-owned, or chartered equipment, including helicopters, under
AS
16.05.783;
(C) notwithstanding any other provisions in
this title, the commissioner may issue public aerial shooting permits or public
land and shoot permits using fixed-wing aircraft as a method of wolf removal
under AS
16.05.783;
(6) the anticipated time frame and schedule
for update and reevalutation are as follows:
(A) through June 30, 2018, the commissioner
may authorize removal of wolves in Unit 24(B);
(B) annually, the department shall, to the
extent practicable, provide to the board a report of program activities
conducted during the preceding 12 months, including implementation activities,
the status of the moose and wolf populations, and recommendations for changes,
if necessary to achieve the objectives of the plan;
(7) the commissioner will review, modify, or
suspend program activities when the wolf surveys or accumulated information
from department personnel, hunters, trappers, and permittees indicate the need
to avoid reducing wolf numbers in Unit 24(B) below the control objective of 100
wolves specified in this subsection.