As an alternative to the method provided in OAR
660-038-0100, to forecast
14-year employment growth based on the most recent long-term job forecast
issued by the Oregon Employment Department (OED), a city must:
(1) Determine the number of "commercial" and
"industrial" jobs currently in the UGB as provided in Table 3.
(2) Using Table 4, determine the long-term
growth rates forecast by OED for commercial jobs and for industrial jobs in the
OED region that includes the city. For purposes of this rule, "OED region"
means Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) Areas for which OED
forecasts long-term job growth.
(3)
To forecast the number of new commercial and new industrial jobs anticipated to
occur in the UGB for the 14-year planning period, the city must:
(a) Multiply the number of commercial jobs
currently in the UGB determined in section (1) by the forecast rate of growth
determined in section (2), and
(b)
Multiply the number of industrial jobs currently in the UGB determined in
section (1) by the forecast rate of growth determined in section (2).
(4) To account for jobs that are
likely to occur on land that is zoned for uses other than commercial or
industrial (and which therefore will not require buildable "employment land"),
the city must reduce the forecast of new commercial and industrial jobs
determined in subsections (3)(a) and (3)(b) by 20 percent.
(5) The result is the number of new
commercial and industrial jobs forecast for the 14-year planning period to be
accommodated on employment lands in the UGB. The city must use this result or
the result in OAR
660-038-0100 as a basis for
determining employment land needs under OAR
660-038-0140.
Notes
Or. Admin. Code
§
660-038-0110
LCDD
6-2015, f. 12-29-15, cert. ef.
1/1/2016;
LCDD
1-2019, amend filed 01/28/2019, effective
2/5/2019;
LCDD
7-2020, amend filed 06/22/2020, effective
7/3/2020;
LCDD
4-2023, amend filed 05/10/2023, effective
5/10/2023;
LCDD
8-2023, amend filed 08/07/2023, effective
8/7/2023;
LCDD
3-2024, amend filed 07/11/2024, effective
7/11/2024
Statutory/Other Authority: ORS
197.040, ORS
197A.305, ORS
197A.320 & ORS
197.235
Statutes/Other Implemented: ORS
197A.300, ORS
197A.302, ORS
197A.305, ORS
197A.310, ORS
197A.312, ORS
197A.315, ORS
197A.320 & ORS
197A.325
